Solana price hits 2+ year high — Is a new SOL all-time high on the way?

Solana’s native token, SOL (SOL), surged by 35% between Oct. 5 and Oct. 11, reaching its highest level since December 2021 at $222. This movement has led traders to speculate whether the all-time high of $260 is within reach, especially after Bitcoin (BTC) crossed  $84,500, driven by steady institutional inflows and anticipated regulatory clarity in the United States.

SOL has outperformed the broader altcoin market, which saw a 33% increase over the same six-day period ending Oct. 11. Investors’ optimism regarding SOL is partly fueled by the expansion in Solana’s smart contract activity, as evidenced by the total value locked (TVL).

The TVL on Solana escalated to $7.6 billion by Oct. 10, marking the highest since December 2021. Key decentralized applications (DApps) like Jito, Raydium, Drift, and Binance’s liquid staking significantly contributed to a 36% growth in deposits. 

Solana’s activity increase is not limited to memecoin trading

There is some valid criticism regarding Solana’s heavy dependence on memecoins, including Dogwifhat (WIF), Bonk (BONK), and Popcat (POPCAT), all of which have surpassed the $1.5 billion market capitalization threshold. Decentralized token launch platforms like Pump.fun have been the main drivers behind the increase in Solana decentralized exchanges (DEX) volumes.

Weekly DEX volumes on Solana surged to $17.1 billion in the week ending Nov. 2, a figure not seen since March 2024, and corresponding to a 26% market share, surpassing even the leading DApp-focused blockchain, Ethereum. Solana also managed to capture $88.2 million in monthly fees, which is vital for addressing network security concerns.

By comparison, the Ethereum network, with a TVL over 7 times higher than Solana, earned $131.6 million in monthly fees. Similarly, Tron, another blockchain emphasizing base layer scalability, collected $49.1 million in fees over 30 days. These figures do not include broader ecosystem revenues, which include notable contributions like $100.2 million from Jito and $83 million from Raydium.

Evaluating platforms solely by TVL and fees might be misleading since not all DApps need high volumes to be significant. However, they are crucial for adoption and attracting new users, setting the stage for sustainable growth and increased demand for SOL accumulation and utilization. 

For example, Magic Eden, Solana’s leading non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace, recorded 77,160 active addresses over the past 30 days, as reported by DappRadar. In contrast, OpenSea, a comparable service on the Ethereum network, saw 37,940 active addresses during the same timeframe.

This data provides solid evidence of how the Solana network has attracted users beyond the memecoin frenzy, suggesting that SOL’s price may see further benefits. However, to determine if traders are excessively leveraging their positions, one should analyze the SOL perpetual futures.

Related: 80% of memecoins pumped after Binance listing in 2024

A positive funding rate indicates that long positions (buyers) are paying for leverage, which typically fluctuates between 0% and 2% per month in neutral markets. The recent surge to 5% on Nov. 10 suggested a temporary over-enthusiasm, but the latest data from Nov. 11 shows a neutral leverage cost of 1.8% monthly.

In terms of onchain and derivatives metrics, SOL appears to be on a path to achieving an all-time high, bolstered by increased network activity and no signs of excessive leverage.