Price analysis 11/25: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, XRP, DOGE, ADA, AVAX

The failure of the bulls to push Bitcoin (BTC) above $100,000 started a pullback, which is expected to find buyers at lower levels. 

According to crypto tracking platform SoSoValue, United States-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) witnessed the largest recorded inflows of $3.38 billion last week.

Another major buyer of Bitcoin was MicroStrategy, a publicly traded business intelligence and software firm, which bought 55,000 Bitcoin for $5.4 billion between Nov. 18 and Nov. 24 at an average price of $97,862. After the latest purchase, MicroStrategy’s total holdings ballooned to 386,700 Bitcoin.

However, traders need to be cautious because the markets have failed to break above the $100,000 level even after large inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and on the news of MicroStrategy’s purchase. The repeated failure to break above a significant resistance may tempt short-term bulls to book profits, starting a deeper pullback.

What are the critical support levels to watch out for in Bitcoin and altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

S&P 500 Index price analysis

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) rose to a new all-time high on Nov. 25, but the long wick on the candlestick shows that the bears are trying to halt the rally.

If buyers do not give up much ground from the current level, the likelihood of a break above 6,021 increases. The index could travel northward to 6,221 and thereafter to 6,500.

This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day exponential moving average (5,906). The index could then decline to the 50-day simple moving average (5,817). Buyers are expected to defend the 50-day SMA with all their might because a close below it will signal the start of a deeper correction to 5,670.

US Dollar Index price analysis

The US Dollar Index (DXY) turned down from the stiff overhead resistance of 108 on Nov. 22, indicating that the bears are aggressively defending the level.

The 20-day EMA (105) is the essential support to watch out for. If the price turns up from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the sentiment remains positive, and traders are buying on dips. The bulls will again try to drive the price above 108, starting a rally toward 114.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bulls are booking profits. That may pull the price to 105, extending the stay inside the range between 100 and 108.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin is witnessing profit-booking by the short-term bulls, which has pulled the price to the uptrend line.

If the price bounces off the uptrend line with force, it will suggest that the bulls are buying on every minor dip. The bulls will again try to propel the BTC/USDT pair above $100,000. If they can pull it off, the pair could accelerate to $113,331 and then to $125,000.

Alternatively, a break below the uptrend line could sink the pair to the 20-day EMA ($89,213). This is the key level for the bulls to defend because a break below it may tug the pair to $85,000. 

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) turned down from the downtrend line on Nov. 23, but a positive sign is that the bulls bought the dip.

Buyers are again trying to propel the price above the downtrend line. If they manage to do that, it will signal a potential trend change. The ETH/USDT pair could rally to $3,900 and eventually to $4,094. Sellers are expected to fiercely defend the zone between $3,900 and $4,094.

The 20-day EMA ($3,141) is the critical support to watch out for on the downside. A break and close below the 20-day EMA will suggest that the bulls have given up. The pair may plummet to the breakout level of $2,850.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) has pulled back toward the 20-day EMA ($225), indicating profit-booking by the bulls.

The 20-day EMA is the important support to watch out for. If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA with force, it will indicate solid demand at lower levels. That will improve the prospects of a break above $265. The SOL/USDT pair could ascend to $304.

Contrarily, if the price continues lower and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will signal that the bulls are rushing to the exit. The pair may retest the breakout level of $210, which is likely to attract buyers.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) bulls are struggling to sustain the price above $667, indicating a lack of demand at higher levels.

Sellers will try to make a comeback by pulling the price below the moving averages. If they do that, the BNB/USDT pair could descend to the uptrend line.

Instead, if the price stays above the 20-day EMA ($622), it will signal advantage to the bulls. That increases the possibility of a break above $667. If that happens, the pair could rally to $722. Sellers will try to halt the up move at $722, but if the bulls prevail, the pair could extend the rally to $810.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) witnessed volatile moves on Nov. 23 and 24, indicating a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.

Generally, vertical rallies are followed by sharp corrections or a period of consolidation. The XRP/USDT pair may swing between $1.27 and $1.63 for some time. If bears pull the price below $1.27, the pair could descend to the 20-day EMA ($1.05).

Conversely, a break and close above $1.63 will indicate the resumption of the uptrend. The pair may climb to $1.76 and eventually to $1.97. Sellers are expected to aggressively defend the $1.97 level.

Related: Bitcoin sees new $90K BTC price target as 3% dip sparks liquidations

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) rose above the $0.44 resistance on Nov. 23, but the long wick on the candlestick shows selling at higher levels.

The bulls will again attempt to achieve a close above $0.44. If they succeed, the DOGE/USDT pair could resume the uptrend. The rally could reach $0.50 and, after that, $0.59.

If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to yank the price below the 20-day EMA ($0.34). That could start a deeper correction toward $0.30, indicating that the bulls are losing their grip.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano’s (ADA) pullback is finding support near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.92.

The RSI remains in the overbought territory, suggesting that the ADA/USDT pair could enter a consolidation for a few days. The range could be between $0.92 and $1.15. If buyers drive the price above $1.15, the pair could start the next leg of the up move toward $1.25 and then to $1.64.

Conversely, a break and close below $0.92 will tilt the short-term advantage in favor of the bears. The pair could slide to the 61.8% retracement level of $0.86 and later to $0.80.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) rebounded off the breakout level from the ascending channel pattern on Nov. 24, indicating buying on dips.

The bulls pushed the price above the overhead resistance of $45.27 on Nov. 25, but the long wick on the candlestick suggests selling at higher levels. The 20-day EMA ($35.39) is the vital support to watch out for on the downside. A rebound off the 20-day EMA will increase the possibility of a rally to $51 and later to $60.

This optimistic view will be negated if the price turns down and plunges below the 20-day EMA. Such a move will indicate that the markets have rejected the breakout. The AVAX/USDT pair may decline to the 50-day SMA ($29.75).