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A big final flush out for altcoins could be imminent if historical market cycle patterns repeat.
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Altcoins could be in for more pain before any gains are seen, according to a crypto trader, who predicted that a final “altcoin reckoning” is due to occur.
“It looks like the grand finale of the altcoin reckoning has finally arrived,” commented ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen in a post on X on Nov. 4.
He added that this altcoin reckoning should be over by December 2024 or the second week of January 2025 at the latest. “It has been a long journey, and many gave up along the way, but this process was always going to play out,” he said.
The prediction is based on a final flush-out for altcoin markets, which occurred during the bear market of 2019, and the altcoin market capitalization chart is currently showing a similar pattern.
Altcoins showed a gradual recovery in 2020 before surging to fresh highs in 2021. According to the analyst, this scenario is likely to play out in 2025.
Source: Benjamin Cowen
In a separate post on X, he said that altcoin/Bitcoin pairs have continued to bleed for three years straight, adding that the last two altseasons have occurred in post-halving years 2017 and 2021.
Trader ‘ardizor’ predicted something similar in a Nov. 4 post, stating that the altseason patterns from 2017 and 2021 are “happening again after three years.”
Meanwhile, crypto investor ‘Sensei’ told his 60,000 X followers that “the biggest altseason ever will start in less than 10 days.”
Related: Is crypto ‘altseason’ coming? Watch these 3 key signals in the months ahead
Bitcoin’s (BTC) market dominance is currently at its highest level since March 2021 at 60.5%, according to TradingView. It is unlikely that there will be any significant movements for altcoins until BTC’s market share falls back below 50% again.
Bitcoin dominance over the past four years. Source: TradingView
Crypto markets have retreated over the weekend as total capitalization fell to $2.4 trillion by Monday, Nov. 4.
The brunt of those losses has been for altcoins, with ETH and SOL dropping 11% since their Oct. 30 highs, BNB has lost 8%, while Bitcoin has only dipped 5.8% since it topped $73,000 late last month as it continues to dominate crypto markets.
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This article first appeared at Cointelegraph.com News
