Ethereum nears 2-year low weekly close — Why $2K ETH price must hold

Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), posted a new yearly low at $2,070, which is also the lowest since Jan. 1, 2024. The second-biggest cryptocurrency dropped 7.40% on Feb. 28, leading to over $200 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours.

With ETH price now testing two-year lows, 0xLouisT, a crypto investment manager, says that Ether’s social sentiment is “at its lowest in the past 12 months”.

Ethereum’s weekly close nears 2-year lows

Ether price is down 24.50% in the past seven days, its worst weekly turnover since 2022. A weekly close below $2,300 will mark its lowest since November 2023, a two-year low.

As illustrated in the chart, the top altcoin is also set to close below its 200-weekly exponential moving average (EMA). The 200-weekly EMA indicator has closely tracked Ethereum’s bottom range.

Since 2020, ETH/USD has closed under the 200-weekly EMA level for only 39 weeks out of a possible 268, only 14.55% of the time.

Related: Why is the crypto market down today?

Thus, based on historical trends, Ethereum might reclaim a position above the EMA level within a few weeks.

However, a double-top pattern threatens the bulls. The 7-day chart also shows a double-top pattern taking shape over the past year. A close under $2,100 will validate the neckline, and any correction under $2,000 increases the chance of another 28% to the next support at $1,500.

Jason Pizzino, a crypto investor, also mentions that Ethereum could be “in more trouble” if it closes under $2,000-$2,1000. Thus, ETH must remain above $2,000 to invalidate this double-top pattern on the charts.

Ethereum cost-basis distribution price at $1.9K

Although Ether must stay above $2,000 to prevent further decline, Glassnode data indicates that the cost-basis distribution price is lower at $1,890.

The cost basis distribution (CBD) price of an asset isn’t a single fixed number but a range of prices reflecting when the ETH last moved onchain. A $1,890 CBD price indicates that Ether could retest this value if price weakness persists.

Related: Brutal 20% Ethereum price sell-off is not over, but is there a silver lining for ETH?

Morin, a crypto trader, also underlined that a demand zone for ETH lies around $2,100 to $1,900. The trader expected the altcoin’s drawdown to be contained within this range once the bearish pressure subsides.

Conversely, Leon Waidmann, head of research at OnchainHq, suggested that ETH exchange balances continue to drop alongside price. The researcher suggests that investors potentially remain confident with ETH, accumulating at key demand zones as the price corrects.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.