Outside Source
Donald Trump’s winning odds lead on Polymarket have significantly narrowed, and Bitcoin’s little price dump caused big liquidations.
News
Crypto market liquidations almost hit $350 million as Bitcoin briefly dipped below $69,000, with traders seemingly jittery in the lead-up to the United States presidential election.
In all, $349.78 million was liquidated across $259.7 million long bets and $90.08 million short bets on Nov. 3, according to CoinGlass. It’s the largest day of liquidations since Oct. 25, when Bitcoin (BTC) failed to sustain a rally past $70,000.
Bitcoin has seen a significant price swing over the last seven days, starting on Oct. 28 at around $67,700, then reaching a high of nearly $73,300 on Oct. 29 before dropping over the next few days with a brief dip to a low of $67,719 on Nov. 3.
It quickly recovered and is now trading at $69,145, per CoinGecko.
Bitcoin’s price over the past week saw it nearly reach its March peak high. Source: CoinGecko
Bitcoin’s rollercoaster price action comes as the odds gap between US presidential bidders Donald Trump and Kamala Harris has tightened on the crypto native betting platform Polymarket.
In early October, Trump overtook Harris on Polymarket as the likely winner of the Nov. 5 elections, with his odds of winning peaking at 67% on Oct. 30 — that’s now seen a sharp correction to 56%.
Trump’s winning odds lead on Polymarket has narrowed over the last month with election day looming. Source: Polymarket
The crypto industry views the Republican presidential candidate as the friendlier option as Trump has promised — among other pledges — to fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler and make the US “the world capital of crypto.”
Meanwhile, the Democratic Party’s Harris has taken a more tempered approach to crypto, saying she’d support a regulatory framework for the space in her pitch to Black male voters.
Related: Harris vs. Trump: Who is the crypto industry backing?
Trump’s winning odds on Polymarket now more closely align with polling data, which shows that he’s essentially neck and neck with Harris — who had a 0.9 percentage point lead on Nov. 3, FiveThirtyEight data shows.
Harris led Trump by as much as 3.5 percentage points in August, which has now significantly narrowed. Source: FiveThirtyEight
Some traders have speculated that Bitcoin could hit $100,000 in the event that Trump wins the election, while Bernstein analysts have said a Harris win could send Bitcoin’s price down significantly by the end of the year.
In the immediate aftermath of the election results, crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades predicted Bitcoin could see “at least a 10% move to either direction depending on who ends up winning the election.”
Magazine: Most DePIN projects barely even use blockchain — True or false?
This article first appeared at Cointelegraph.com News
