Bitcoin ‘capitulation incoming’ as liquidity risks sub-$50K BTC price

Bitcoin (BTC) threatens a trip to long-term range lows before “full bull” takes over BTC price action.

In his latest analysis on X, released Oct. 10, popular analyst Cole Garner said that he sees “capitulation incoming” for Bitcoin markets.

BTC price “range lows” still on the table

Bitcoin still stands to gain from global liquidity trends, but what comes first might shock the average trader.

Investigating current onchain phenomena, Garner flagged liquidity declining in the short term, which could be reflected in BTC price performance. 

“Liquidity on-chain is tightening: I smell capitulation incoming,” he summarized.

“A common pre-requisite to full bull.”

Accompanying charts showed among other things a print of the Liquid Vision index, measuring global central bank liquidity.

Liquidity onchain starts at its source, the central banks. Liquid Vision is my lens. It’s primed for a buy signal,” Garner continued.

“If China doesn’t ring that bell, Fed or Japan should do the job. But more downside could come first.”

The post referred to recent shifts in policy from both China’s central bank and the United States Federal Reserve. The former, having unveiled a major round of economic stimulus last month, disappointed risk-asset traders this week by holding off on continuation.

Garner meanwhile additionally pointed to a declining supply of stablecoins, specifically the two largest US dollar stablecoins by market cap, Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC).

“Range lows before $100k? Total facepalm,” he argued. 

“BUT: we have a higher high in place. Bullish mkt structure. Even at range lows in peak fear – still bullish structure.”

Those lows, another chart showed, could nonetheless come in at below $50,000.

Bitcoin kicks the can on “Uptober”

As Cointelegraph reported, some market participants still hope that BTC/USD will deliver a turnaround from its sideways moves before the end of October.

Related: Bitcoin traders don’t expect new highs until the 200-MA becomes support

Even China’s stimulus rethink, one theory argues, could spark a fresh wave of capital inflows toward crypto.

Zooming out, bullish BTC price predictions also remain in place. This week, longtime trader Peter Brandt said that he sees BTC/USD reaching $135,000 within the next year, provided that key support holds.

Bitcoin traded near $61,000 at the time of writing, down 4% month-to-date, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.